quantitative trading strategy
From attention to profit: quantitative trading strategy based on transformer
Zhang, Zhaofeng, Chen, Banghao, Zhu, Shengxin, Langrené, Nicolas
In traditional quantitative trading practice, navigating the complicated and dynamic financial market presents a persistent challenge. Former machine learning approaches have struggled to fully capture various market variables, often ignore long-term information and fail to catch up with essential signals that may lead the profit. This paper introduces an enhanced transformer architecture and designs a novel factor based on the model. By transfer learning from sentiment analysis, the proposed model not only exploits its original inherent advantages in capturing long-range dependencies and modelling complex data relationships but is also able to solve tasks with numerical inputs and accurately forecast future returns over a period. This work collects more than 5,000,000 rolling data of 4,601 stocks in the Chinese capital market from 2010 to 2019. The results of this study demonstrated the model's superior performance in predicting stock trends compared with other 100 factor-based quantitative strategies with lower turnover rates and a more robust half-life period. Notably, the model's innovative use transformer to establish factors, in conjunction with market sentiment information, has been shown to enhance the accuracy of trading signals significantly, thereby offering promising implications for the future of quantitative trading strategies.
- Asia > China > Guangdong Province > Zhuhai (0.04)
- North America > United States > California > San Diego County > San Diego (0.04)
- Asia > South Korea (0.04)
- (5 more...)
Unveiling the Potential of Sentiment: Can Large Language Models Predict Chinese Stock Price Movements?
Zhang, Haohan, Hua, Fengrui, Xu, Chengjin, Guo, Jian, Kong, Hao, Zuo, Ruiting
The rapid advancement of Large Language Models (LLMs) has led to extensive discourse regarding their potential to boost the return of quantitative stock trading strategies. This discourse primarily revolves around harnessing the remarkable comprehension capabilities of LLMs to extract sentiment factors which facilitate informed and high-frequency investment portfolio adjustments. To ensure successful implementations of these LLMs into the analysis of Chinese financial texts and the subsequent trading strategy development within the Chinese stock market, we provide a rigorous and encompassing benchmark as well as a standardized back-testing framework aiming at objectively assessing the efficacy of various types of LLMs in the specialized domain of sentiment factor extraction from Chinese news text data. To illustrate how our benchmark works, we reference three distinctive models: 1) the generative LLM (ChatGPT), 2) the Chinese language-specific pre-trained LLM (Erlangshen-RoBERTa), and 3) the financial domain-specific fine-tuned LLM classifier(Chinese FinBERT). We apply them directly to the task of sentiment factor extraction from large volumes of Chinese news summary texts. We then proceed to building quantitative trading strategies and running back-tests under realistic trading scenarios based on the derived sentiment factors and evaluate their performances with our benchmark. By constructing such a comparative analysis, we invoke the question of what constitutes the most important element for improving a LLM's performance on extracting sentiment factors. And by ensuring that the LLMs are evaluated on the same benchmark, following the same standardized experimental procedures that are designed with sufficient expertise in quantitative trading, we make the first stride toward answering such a question.
Machine Learning for Trading Specialization
This 3-course Specialization from Google Cloud and New York Institute of Finance (NYIF) is for finance professionals, including but not limited to hedge fund traders, analysts, day traders, those involved in investment management or portfolio management, and anyone interested in gaining greater knowledge of how to construct effective trading strategies using Machine Learning (ML) and Python. Alternatively, this program can be for Machine Learning professionals who seek to apply their craft to quantitative trading strategies. By the end of the Specialization, you'll understand how to use the capabilities of Google Cloud to develop and deploy serverless, scalable, deep learning, and reinforcement learning models to create trading strategies that can update and train themselves. As a challenge, you're invited to apply the concepts of Reinforcement Learning to use cases in Trading. This program is intended for those who have an understanding of the foundations of Machine Learning at an intermediate level.
Quantitative Trading Strategies for European Stocks
In the following, we analyze the performance of our "European Stocks" Package by evaluating quantitative trading strategies which invest on a daily basis in the European stocks selected by our AI system and can easily be recreated by using the daily forecasts provided to clients. We show that the I Know First algorithm's signals including the costs of bid-ask spreads and commissions results in a high-performing trading strategy with excellent statistics: The I Know First Market Prediction System models and predicts the flow of money between the markets. It then creates a model that projects the future trajectory of the given market in the multidimensional space of other markets. The system outputs the predicted trend as a number (the signal), positive or negative, along with the wave chart that predicts how the waves will overlap the trend. This helps the trader decide which direction to trade, at what point to enter the trade, and when to exit.